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Deal shape · market · comms plan

Sixteen proof-of-concepts

What a deal is probably worth, how big the market actually is, how much of it they can currently touch, and what a comms plan sized to that would cost. The measured parts are marked; the model is a strawman.

⚠ Pre-human

No human has read a word of this. Machine output, published raw so the reasoning can be attacked before anyone polishes it. Judge the chain, not the copy — if a numbered step is wrong, say which.

What competitors actually charge

Duco publishes a full price card measured

On AWS Marketplace, with contract terms:

DimensionIncludesCost / 12 months
License & ProcessingDaily ingestion of 100K records, 50 process inputs, 25 users, 4 hours professional services$80,000
Volume increasesMetered, per 100K records/day step up to 500K$40,000/step

Ladder: 100K → $80k · 200K → $120k · 300K → $160k · 500K → $240k. And: "up and running within a day of contract signature."

Xceptor's contract, backed out of their ROI derived

Their own award post: "220% ROI, with the initial investment recovered in just four months · $1.083 million in labour cost savings, reducing annual costs to $217,000." Four-month payback on $1.083m implies ~$361k invested. Cross-checked against the IDC case — 523% ROI, $1.35m annual savings, three-year convention — gives ~$217,000/year. The same figure appears in both cases independently.

SmartStream sets the ceiling: Tier 1 case studies projecting $64m, $38m and $24m in three-year savings.

What a Fund Recs deal is worth modelled

Fund Recs publishes 2.2bn rows a year — ~8.8m rows/day across all clients. Divided by ~60 clients that's ~147,000 rows/day each, squarely in Duco's $80k–$120k band. Both companies' own published numbers, same unit.

TierWhoClientsACV%
Embedded / strategicApex, Maples, Northern Trust, CACEIS, CSC, SuMi Trust6–8$400k–$1m45%
Multi-moduleGrant Thornton, Curo, Innocap, Channel, Waystone15–20$120k–$250k30%
Single-regulation landMuzinich, Tycho, Serone, GemCap, Albar, Three Rock35–45$35k–$80k25%
Total~65~$154k avg$10m
The labour case is thin on its own. Their own "10 hours a day saved" is ~1.4 FTE ≈ €105k — a 75% ROI, respectable and unexciting. Which is why every funded competitor moved off labour savings. But against a GlobeOp-scale NAV error at US$43.5m, the contract is 0.3% of the tail risk. The insurance frame is the only one where the price becomes trivial, and it's the one they own.

The market is small enough to write down

SegmentBuying unitsNamed people
Depositaries / trustees (EU + UK)~120~350
Fund administrators (global, mid-market)~350~1,000
ManCos / Responsible Entities~450~1,100
Asset managers with reporting obligations~600~1,200
Audit & advisory (channel)~25~120
Total~1,545~3,770

Fewer than 4,000 people on earth can buy this. You don't run demand generation against 4,000 people — you run coverage. Every one can be named and tiered. directional estimate

How much they can currently touch measured

LinkedIn, measured directly: 60 associated members. 18 Engineering · 11 Information Technology · 11 Consulting (Client Solutions) · 10 Business Development · 4 Product Management. 52 of the 60 are in Ireland — 27 Greater Dublin, 12 Waterford — selling into 40+ countries.

Named commercial: Gerard Gilsenan (CRO), Shane O'Sullivan (Senior Sales Director), Des O'Donohoe (Co-Founder & MD), Shane Flatman (Strategy & BD, APAC), Aoife Storey, plus Meaney.

Ten in BD, realistically four to six carrying a number. A seller covering named accounts properly manages 50–80. That's 260–390 accounts against ~1,545 buying units — 17 to 25% coverage. Three-quarters of the market has nobody assigned to it. And one person covers APAC while ASIC is their fastest-moving regulatory theme.

What growth actually requires

$10m ARR growing 49%  →  ~$4.9m net new ARR
assume 60% expansion / 40% new logo
  →  new-logo requirement ≈ $2.0m
  ÷ ~$154k ACV  =  ~13 new clients
93% PoC-to-close  →  ~14 PoCs.  Call it 16/year — 1.3 a month.

16 PoCs ← ~50 qualified opportunities ← ~200 first conversations
        ← ~1,000 engaged contacts

They don't need to be famous. They need a thousand of the right people to know they exist.

TierScopeHow, and how often
1 · named40 accounts
~120 people
15 largest administrators, 15 largest EU/UK depositaries, 10 strategic ManCos, plus expansion accounts. Bespoke pages, Meaney or Gilsenan direct, executive dinners at InvestOps and Irish Funds, Adminovate as the relationship instrument it already is. Monthly touch, quarterly substance.
2 · clustered~200 accounts
~600 people
Clustered by regulator, not by size: CBI ManCos · CSSF · ASIC REs · APRA trustees · UK AFMs · EU depositary leads · EMIR reporting heads. A regulatory deadline is a shared dated event, so one asset serves fifty accounts. Every six weeks.
3 · programmatic~1,300 accounts
~3,000 people
Meaney's feed (8,915 followers, 5.4× the company page), a LinkedIn newsletter — Duco runs one, Fund Recs doesn't — and the ten-question self-assessment. Weekly presence, no outreach. Let the regulator do the qualifying.

Budget benchmark

B2B SaaS at $10m ARR growing ~50% spends 6–10% of ARR on marketing excluding sales salaries. ~$800,000/year. Against $2.0m new-logo ARR that's a CAC ratio of 0.4 and roughly five months' payback.

LineAnnual%Note
Events & Adminovate$240k30%Where the market physically is. Adminovate is an owned asset they under-exploit; add 4–6 cluster roundtables
Content & proof$160k20%Self-assessment, honest comparison, 4 client stories, video transcription, the regulator series
ABM programme$120k15%Data, intent tooling, named-account pages. Tiers 1–2 only
Paid — LinkedIn + search$120k15%From zero. Against a 4,000-person universe this is generous; Duco runs 344 ads
Analyst & third-party proof$80k10%G2 presence, one analyst engagement, one commissioned ROI study. Currently zero, and it blocks procurement
Web, SEO, AI answers$60k7.5%Comparison pages, schema, the OEM attribution fix
Reserve$20k2.5%Competitive response — Gresham/Finologee is live
Two honest caveats. We don't know what they spend now — zero ads and no analyst relationships suggest it's low, but that's inference. And at ~10% net margin on $10m, $800k is roughly their entire net profit. This is a board decision about trading a year of margin for growth, not a marketing line item.

Measure one thing: sixteen proof-of-concepts. Everything else is a leading indicator.

Built by Equalsfive from public sources only, 31 August 2026. No human has reviewed the copy on this site. Evidence base: content-corpus.jsonl — 1,205 records. Grades: measured counted or quoted · inferred derived from a small sample · domain industry practice, unverified.
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